Guoen Holdings Limited (HKG:8121) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. But the last month did very little to improve the 70% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Guoen Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Guoen Holdings
Guoen Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guoen Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guoen Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 39% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.6% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guoen Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Despite Guoen Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
In line with expectations, Guoen Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guoen Holdings that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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